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Anthropic IPO: The $518 Billion Bill Behind the $2 Trillion Valuation
Anthropic wants to go public at a reported valuation above $2 trillion. According to its IPO prospectus as reviewed by Reuters, it lost about $42 billion last year, and roughly $34 billion of that was a non-cash accounting charge. The number I care about is different. Reuters reports at least $518 billion in cloud, compute, and infrastructure commitments, and about 80 percent of it is owed whether the compute gets used or not. That is not spending. That is a lease.Charles Oglesby and I underwrite the whole front page this week like it is a deal on our desk. Oura postponed its IPO the day it was expected to price, despite strong demand, and most of the shares on offer were insiders selling. AMD agreed to buy Fei-Fei Li's World Labs for about $8.2 billion in stock, not cash, and we break down why paying in stock turns a seller into a partner. A BlackRock-backed group is in exclusive talks for up to $25 billion of Asia-Pacific data centers after the seller asked for more than $30 billion. And Paramount's deal for Warner Bros. Discovery comes with roughly $79 billion of net debt and a ticking fee that starts October 1.Every one of these deals has a Main Street version. Customer concentration, key-person risk, rollover equity, lease terms, and lenders who underwrite trailing cash flow instead of synergies. Same mechanics, different zeros. If you are buying a business in the $1 million to $5 million range, this is how you read your own deal.Drop the deal you are looking at in the comments and Charles and I may underwrite it on air.Nothing in this episode is investment advice. Disclosure: I used Claude, an Anthropic product, to help produce this episode. 0:00 Five deals, one question: who is paying? 2:30 Anthropic IPO: the $42B loss vs the $518B bill 14:00 Oura walks away from its own IPO 21:00 AMD buys World Labs for $8.2B in stock 30:00 BlackRock and the $25B data center talks 38:00 Paramount, Warner Bros., and $79B of net debt51:00 Rapid fire56:00 Headlines report the price, operators read the capital stackLINKSTry Deal Flow OS free - https://dealflow-os.com Subscribe to my newsletter - https://buybuildexitwithroyredd.subst... Follow me on Instagram - @buybuildexitFree Class - https://www.skool.com/buy-build-exit-...

