
Earlylands in Conversation
Earlylands in Conversation - Ep. 35 - "Russia Has Leaned Into Its Worst Impulses": RUSI’s Dr. Jack Watling on Ukraine's Changed Battlefield Dynamic
Russia's military is materially weaker today than it was a year ago, and Ukraine has established an asymmetric approach that drives up the cost of every Russian advance. Yet those facts still do not guarantee Kyiv the ending it wants. Dr. Jack Watling is Senior Research Fellow for Applied Military Sciences at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London and one of the world's leading experts on the war in Ukraine. He is also the author of Statecraft: The New Rules of Power in a Divided World (Pan Macmillan, 2026) and has spent the past four and a half years moving between London and Kyiv. His method rests on primary research: time with Ukrainian units at the front rather than reassessment of other people's data points. In this conversation: what the Ukrainians solved between 2024 and the beginning of 2026 and what the Russians did not; Russian force quality and replacement rates; why Jack believes the war has reached a turning point and why that is not the same as a happy ending; and the signposts he is watching over the next six to twelve months. We recorded as the news was breaking out of Kyiv about the replacement of Ukraine's defense minister and the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, so we do not address those changes directly. If you enjoy this episode, please follow Earlylands in Conversation wherever you listen. Books Mentioned on the Podcast -Statecraft: The New Rules of Power in a Divided World by Jack Watling - Seeing Like a State by James C. Scott - Ashenden by W. Somerset Maugham

