
Episode #123
#123 Forecasting Revenue You Haven't Earned Yet β with Colin Gerber, VP RevOps & Strategy at Socure
Colin Gerber, VP RevOps & Strategy at Socure, returns for part two to unpack how his team forecasts revenue in a fully consumption-based business. He walks through the solution readiness document that substantiates every booking, the "BAR" (booked ARR realization) process that tracks ramp against reality, and why RevOps should own the forecasting system but not its accuracy. Plus: the comp structures that keep AEs and CSMs honest, and the two mistakes that blow the biggest holes in a consumption forecast. We cover: - How Socure prices ~35 modules by API-call consumption, not seats - Giving customers real-time visibility into what they're actually spending - The solution readiness document that turns a sales pitch into a forecastable number - Why AEs still call a bookings number β and when it gets challenged - Booking conservatively for pre-launch startups vs. mature, high-volume customers - Modeling seasonality into ramp schedules (BNPL, gaming, tax season) - Using live trials to close the gap between closed-won and go-live - The monthly BAR review with FP&A - Salesforce, JIRA, NetSuite and Tableau: the four-source forecasting stack - Booking discipline vs. realization β why bookings still matter in consumption pricing - Who actually owns the ramp: AEs, CSMs, and post-sales solution consultants - How 24-month payout schedules shape AE behavior on ramping accounts - The two mistakes that blow up a consumption-based forecast Colin Gerber: https://www.linkedin.com/in/colinsgerber/ Socure: https://www.socure.com/ Janis Zech: https://www.linkedin.com/in/janiszech/ Philipp Stelzer: https://www.linkedin.com/in/philippstelzer/ WeFlow: https://www.weflow.ai/ Community: https://www.weflow.ai/community RevOps Letter: https://www.weflow.ai/revops-letter Chapters: (00:01) Colin Gerber returns from Socure (02:37) How Socure prices consumption (06:08) Real-time visibility into spend (09:07) Why consumption pricing is spreading (10:49) Forecasting sessions & the solution readiness doc (15:07) Contract terms and seasonality (17:41) Live trials close the go-live gap (20:05) Ramp realization and revenue recognition (21:55) The four-source forecasting stack (25:05) Booking discipline vs. realization (29:14) Who owns the ramp (34:41) Two mistakes that wreck a forecast (39:07) RevOps shouldn't own forecast accuracy






