
Supply Chain Secrets
Overcapacity Looks Unavoidable in 2027-2028: Here's the Math.
Pacific spot rates are flatlining on average, but the spread between the highest and lowest payers just hit its widest point in months, a sign the market has no real conviction on where this goes next. Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver break down what's actually driving ocean freight this week. In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover: Asia-USWC/USEC spreads widening sharply while average rates hold flat, and what that phantom GRI risk means for shippers NOAA's latest El Niño forecast for the Panama Canal and the draft restrictions likely coming this fall Red Sea normalization update as more carriers shift back to Suez routing The order book math: why fleet growth may already be outpacing true demand, and what that means for capacity heading into 2027 and 2028 Subscribe to weekly podcast highlights






