
The American Conservative Morning Briefing
August 19, 2026
Good morning! Today is Wednesday, August 19th 2026, and this is The American Conservative's Morning Brief. Day one hundred seventy-two of the Iran conflict brings no diplomatic movement, with President Trump declaring the Strait of Hormuz "New U.S. Territory" as the naval blockade tightens and Brent crude climbs above ninety-one dollars. George O'Neill Jr. delivers a scathing verdict on the second Trump administration's foreign policy, arguing that operations in seven countries have shattered the America First promise and exposed the fantasy of American military supremacy. Andrew Day dismantles the multiracial realignment narrative, warning that demographic shifts in states like Texas and Georgia are pointing the GOP toward a future that looks unmistakably like New York City. and now for the details. We begin with the ongoing conflict with Iran, now in its one hundred and seventy-second day. President Trump announced on Truth Social Tuesday that there are, in his words, no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic. The president also confirmed that the U.S. naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz remains in full force, and in a separate post labeled the strait as, quote, "New U.S. Territory." According to Kpler data cited by Reuters, only six commodity ships transited the strait on Monday. Iran's Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Tehran will not reopen the strait until Washington honors commitments made in a June memorandum of understanding, including lifting the blockade, releasing frozen assets, and ending military operations. That memorandum's sixty-day deadline expired Monday. As Harrison Berger reports, Ghalibaf is leading a high-level parliamentary delegation to Iraq on Wednesday, as pro-Iran militias there face a September 30th deadline from Baghdad to disarm. Meanwhile, Syria condemned reported Israeli strikes on Abu Duhur airbase, and even U.S. envoy Tom Barrack called the strikes an unnecessary escalation. Brent crude closed Tuesday morning above ninety-one dollars a barrel, with the national average gas price at four dollars and seven cents. In a sweeping essay published Tuesday, George D. O'Neill Jr. argues that the second Trump administration's foreign policy has departed sharply from the America First, anti-forever-war promises of the campaign trail. O'Neill notes that the administration has now conducted military operations in at least seven countries, while the war against Iran, along with the continuing conflict in Ukraine, is exposing what he calls the fantasy of American military supremacy. He points to the failure of expensive American defense systems to protect Persian Gulf allies from Iranian missile and drone strikes, and observes that a nation one-fourth the size of the United States, with an economy smaller than the Pentagon's budget, can practically name its next targets. O'Neill also connects this to a broader pattern of institutional decay, citing the recently released Fauci diary entries, the ongoing secrecy around the Epstein files, and decades-old assassinations whose records remain classified. His conclusion: the rules-based order has become a pretext for elite interests abroad, and Americans, especially younger ones, are moving past skepticism into what he describes as righteous fury. Turning to domestic politics, a provocative piece from Andrew Day challenges the conventional wisdom that Donald Trump's 2024 victory heralded a durable multiracial Republican realignment. Day argues that the numbers tell a different story. Around 84 percent of Trump's 2024 voters were white, only modestly more diverse than Mitt Romney's coalition in 2012. And no Republican presidential nominee since Herbert Hoover has won a majority of any nonwhite racial group. Day points to the current midterm polling in Texas and Georgia, both now majority-nonwhite states, where white voters strongly prefer Republican Senate candidates but Democrats are projected to win, in Georgia potentially by double digits. He argues that countermajoritarian institutions like the electoral college and Senate malapportionment have masked the underlying demographic trend, but that these buffers are eroding as younger, more diverse cohorts age into the electorate. Day points to New York City, once ninety percent white in 1950 and now just thirty percent white, where Republican mayoral candidates have become, in his words, comic relief, and where socialist Zohran Mamdani won last year's general election. His forecast: the political future of the country, absent a serious Republican reckoning, looks a great deal like Gotham. Those are today's highlights. For the full stories and more, visit theamericanconservative.com. Thank you for starting your morning with us.

