Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a disci
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What is The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next?
The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next is a business podcast hosted by Fexingo, with 196 episodes on record and a Required Pod Score of 80.
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Fexingo hosts The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next, a business show with 196 episodes published.
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Episode #201
The Sovereign Debt Trap Locking Rates High
Sep 29, 202611 minS5
With global debt hitting three hundred sixty-five trillion dollars, sovereign borrowers face a vicious cycle that is directly impacting US Treasury yields. Lucas and Luna examine how rising interest expenses force governments to issue more debt just to service the old, creating structural pressure on the ten-year yield which recently climbed to five point twenty-six percent. They break down why this dynamic keeps the Fed's hands tied and what it means for your portfolio as we close out the third quarter of twenty twenty six. #SovereignDebt #GlobalEconomy #TreasuryYields #InterestRates #Macroeconomics #FedPolicy #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicForecast #DebtCrisis #InflationData #MonetaryPolicy #FinancialMarkets #USGovernment #BondMarket #LiquidityRisk #LucasAndLuna #EconomicAnalysis Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
With global debt surpassing three hundred sixty-five trillion dollars, the world economy faces a structural choke point. We examine how rising Treasury yields and stagnant real GDP growth create a vicious cycle for sovereign borrowers. Lucas and Luna break down why this debt wall matters more than any single rate hike, using today’s economic data to show what happens when interest payments start consuming fiscal space. #SovereignDebt #GlobalEconomy #TreasuryYields #DebtCrisis #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #Macroeconomics #InterestRates #GDPGrowth #Inflation #FiscalPolicy #CentralBanks #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialMarkets #LucasAndLuna #EconomicForecast #DebtTrap Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
With global debt hitting 365 trillion dollars and US ten-year yields climbing past five percent, the era of cheap money is structurally over. Lucas and Luna dissect why this isn't a temporary spike but a permanent regime shift, using France's budget instability and Swiss rate stagnation as case studies for how governments are navigating the new cost of capital. #SovereignDebt #GlobalEconomy #TenYearYield #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #PublicDebt #InterestRates #TreasuryBonds #Macroeconomics #FranceBudget #SwissNationalBank #InflationExpectations #BondMarket #FiscalPolicy #MonetaryPolicy #DebtCeiling #CentralBanking #EconomicForecast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
Global debt has surpassed three hundred sixty-five trillion dollars, creating a structural floor for interest rates that defies traditional monetary policy. Lucas and Luna examine how the sheer scale of sovereign liabilities forces central banks to tolerate higher yields, using today's ten-year Treasury yield at five point one eight percent as the anchor. They explore why the classic inflation fight is now secondary to the solvency risk of highly indebted governments, and what this means for the economic outlook in late twenty twenty six. #SovereignDebt #GlobalEconomy #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #MonetaryPolicy #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Macroeconomics #FederalReserve #DebtCrisis #EconomicForecast #LiquidityTrap #PublicFinance #InflationOutlook #BondMarket #LucasAndLuna #EconomicsShow #FinancialMarkets Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
With global debt now topping 365 trillion dollars, the sheer scale of leverage is reshaping how central banks set policy. Lucas and Luna break down why rising Treasury yields are forcing a new kind of monetary discipline in late 2026. We look at the specific mechanics of the sovereign debt overhang, the disconnect between nominal GDP growth and real borrowing costs, and what this means for the Federal Reserve's next moves. This isn't just about interest rates; it's about the structural limit on how much economic stimulus can be absorbed before inflation reasserts itself. #GlobalDebt #FederalReserve #TreasuryYields #MonetaryPolicy #Economics2026 #InflationData #InterestRates #SovereignRisk #LucasAndLuna #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Macroeconomics #FinancialMarkets #BondMarket #GDPGrowth #CentralBanks #EconomicForecast #DebtToGDP Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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