A weekly podcast from GlobalCapital, the capital markets news service based in London and New York, discussing its most interesting stories from around the world. Every Friday, listen to lively discussion about the very latest themes, the most innovative and important bond and equity issues and syndicated loans and much more from the capital markets. This podcast is for anyone working in - or who wants to work in - the capital markets from investment bankers, to funding and treasury officials, investors, lawyers, analysts, NGOs and lobbyists, regulators and policy makers, and analysts. GlobalCapital has been the "voice of the markets" for over 35 years, covering bond, loan, equity and securitisation markets around the world. We cover everything from public sector bond issuers, financial institutions, emerging markets and investment grade corporate bonds and loans to securitisation (including CLOs and ABS), regulation and market news as well as industry
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The GlobalCapital Podcast is a news podcast hosted by GlobalCapital, with 256 episodes on record and a Required Pod Score of 80. PitchCentric scores this show on Booking Probability, Listen Score, and live audience signals refreshed every 24 hours.
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GlobalCapital hosts The GlobalCapital Podcast, a news show with 256 episodes published.
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Episode #254
Record temperatures, record bonuses
Aug 14, 202651 minS1
Send us Fan Mail ◆ Have capital markets comprehended the heatwave? ◆ Which SSA issuers need to get it done this autumn ◆ Halcyon days for MTN, M&A and ECM bankers Heatwaves and wildfires are dominating the news but the capital markets seem barely to have noticed. We discuss how the bond and securitization markets are thinking about the risks of global warming, whether they are worrying about it enough and whether anyone has figured out yet who will fund cliamte adaptation, resilience and mitigation. Meanwhile, public benchmark bond issuance is awakening from its summer slumber. We examine the sovereign, supranational and agency bond market and the deals about to come. We discover there is one group of issuers in particular with funding to do and a limited window in which to do it. We also identify two areas of invetsment banking where career prospects are on the up. We discuss the fashion for hiring experiened medium term note bankers, and their scarcity, and who in M&A and equity capital markets will likely be paying record bonuses this year. Now read on: Markets bask in bullishness as record heat scorches harvests Wildfires put securitization investors on notice of climate risk Securitization investors can’t ignore physical climate risk (FREE TO READ) SSA market braces for 'mini-January' as heavyweights line up Pre-fund, especially if you're French (FREE TO READ) MTN bankers: so hot right now Record payouts beckon in M&A and ECM even as bankers hit beach
Send us Fan Mail ◆ Europe's corporate bond market braces for US tech issuance surge ◆ Canada makes move for EU regs equivalence but to what end? ◆ Middle East private placements here to stay... but will take up less room Europe's corporate bond market is fretting over increased bond issuance from hyperscalers in the autumn. These US tech giants, when they come to the market, come big. And with their spreads having widened lately, more storied issuers in the market are worried that it will impact their funding costs too. We examine what could drive such a huge slug of issuance in the next couple of months and whether those tightly priced European companies really have anything to worry about. Canada, meanwhile, is proposing to adjust some of its regulations to make it cheaper for its banks to hold foreign covered bonds. Great news for those banks but critically, the move would also put Canada's regime on a par with the EU's — by far the biggest covered bond market. Matching EU rules is a prerequisite for the bloc to consider full regulatory equivalence. We discuss who would benefit from that, who would not, and how long it might take to have it. Finally, one of the big themes in the bond market since the outbreak of the Iran war at the end of February has been for Gulf issuers to eschew the public bond market in favour of chunky private placements to raise funding. But, as we discover, that could be about to change. We lay out the pros and cons of public versus private market issuance, why issuers might be compelled back into the public market, and whether Gulf issuers' funding toolkit has been forever changed by the experience of the last few months. Now read on: Broader corporate market resists hyperscaler pressures Industry weighs covered bond third-country equivalence Market shift expected to dampen big GCC PP activity
Another ABF lender collapses, development banks max out private placements
Jul 31, 202655 min
Send us Fan Mail ◆ The collapse of another specialist lender hits asset-backed lending but why it's different this time ◆ MDBs ramp up private funding ◆ No greenium but European banks happy to print more ESG labelled debt Barely six months after the controversial collapse of Market Financial Solutions, another UK specialist lender has tumbled. The failure of Amplifi is another blow to the banks and other institutions that fund the specialist lenders through asset-backed finance. But the devil, or perhaps in this case the angel, is in the detail. For the two situations have stark differences. We explain why the ABF industry is taking Amplifi's collapse in its stride. Meanwhile, some of the world's most prominent multilateral development bank bond issuers have increased the portion of their funding done through private placements rather than through their core public benchmark bond programmes. We examine what is driving the change. Finally, European banks are issuing more and more ESG-labelled debt. This has often been a way for issuers to save on funding costs by targeting a product with a captive investor base. However, there is little of this so-called greenium to be had. So what is behind the volumes? We reveal all. Now read on: Amplifi collapse unlikely to cause major disruption to ABF market MDB funding mix changes as callable bond bid from Asia blossoms European banks ramp up green bond sales, unfazed by lack of greenium
Send us Fan Mail ◆ Oil trumps politics ◆ Kuwait scores late winner ◆ How to save Thames Water harmlessly The three month euro/dollar basis swap was traditionally called the bully of the curve because it controlled the rest, but there is no doubt who’s the boss now — dirty old oil. As the US and Iran traded blows, Houthi threats to close the Gulf of Aden made oil traders freak out this week. Their alarm seized bond markets globally, pushing French and German yields to decade highs and Treasuries to an 18 month peak. Gilt investors should have had a week of interesting navel-gazing, wondering whether new chancellor of the exchequer John Healey is going to be their next hero or villain. Instead they were rudely shaken out of it by global events, as Gilts turned out not to be special — all govvies were selling off. A measure of stability has returned, but it’s looking like an edgy summer. Kuwait likely had that in mind when it brought a $6bn three tranche bond this week, in the last minute of extra time of the bond market’s pre-summer season. It was the first public bond issue by any of the highly rated Middle Eastern governments since the war began. Investors lapped it up, delighting bankers, who hope it will encourage other issuers. Back in the UK, Andy Burnham isn’t probably expecting a honeymoon as prime minister — he didn’t win an election. But his peace will soon be disturbed by having to make a big call on Thames Water. The UK’s largest water company, serving about a fifth of the population, is running out of money. Creditors have put a recapitalisation offer on the table, but nationalisation might be cleaner and safer. How it’s handled matters keenly to the UK’s dozen other water companies. A good outcome for Thames bondholders could reduce the perceived risk premium they have to pay, but a messy one could be slippery for their cost of capital.
Send us Fan Mail ◆ Greenium reappears in unlikely place ◆ US banks splash out ◆ Is that all I’m worth? ◆ Cantor is coming A basis point might always be the same quantity, but is it a lot or a little? It depends whom you ask, and when. For supranational, sovereign and agency bond issuers in the dollar market, 1.7bp over Treasuries and 1.9bp over are two different things. Records keep falling as SSAs price ever closer to Treasuries. Last week the International Finance Corp got to 1.7bp — and it was clearly because its $2bn green bond attracted green-mandated investors, more willing to tolerate spread norms being shaved. Could the first new issue to go through Treasuries be a green bond? Across town, the big US banks, led by Goldman Sachs, have been pumping out huge bonds after their quarterly results. The usual big dollar issues have been replaced with bigger ones — and dropping whoppers in the euro market is also common now. The banks are anything but miserly with new issue premiums, seemingly happy to pay 10bp-15bp — in fact their largesse makes life awkward for other issuers. But they’ve got their eyes on bigger prizes. In Europe’s CLO market, investors are ever so stingy. Managers active for decades, with dozens of deals behind them, can woo bondholders and present their credentials till they’re blue in the face. Will investors give them credit for their experience with tighter pricing? A penny or two if they’re lucky. Cantor, the New York broker-dealer led for over 30 years by Howard Lutnick till he took Trump’s shilling as commerce secretary, is not nickel and diming. The firm is moving into European investment banking, starting with equity capital markets, M&A and trading. That takes wedge, and Cantor is dishing out plenty, hiring teams in Hamburg, Milan, Dubai and soon Stockholm. It’s a big if, but if the bet pays off, the returns will not be measured in basis points.
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