The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast

Your go-to NFL podcast is here, hosted by DVOA creator Aaron Schatz and NFL legend Mike Tanier. Each week, Aaron and Mike round up the NFL action, offering unique insights and advanced stats that you won't find anywhere else. From breaking down game performances to analyzing team strategies, they bring their expertise and passion for the game to every episode. Whether you're a casual fan or a stats enthusiast, this podcast will elevate your understanding of the NFL and keep you informed throughout the season. Tune in for a statistical deep dive and stay ahead of the game!

The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast is a sports podcast hosted by Unknown Host, with 171 episodes on record and a Required Pod Score of 80.

Unknown Host hosts The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast, a sports show with 171 episodes published.

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  Episode #170

  NFL Week 3 Recap: Contenders Emerging, 0-3 Panic & Biggest Surprises

  Sep 28, 202639 min

  Week 3 is in the books, and the results didn’t always match what the underlying numbers say should have happened. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from NFL Week 3, using DVOA, DAVE and Post-Game Win Expectancy (PGWE) to separate the final scores from how teams actually performed. Broncos 30, Rams 26 Los Angeles finished with an 86% Post-Game Win Expectancy despite losing in Denver. Aaron and Mike examine the Rams’ 15 penalties, the Broncos’ five penalties and the controversial late defensive pass interference call involving Josh Wallace and Pat Bryant. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… Ravens 34, Cowboys 31 Baltimore escaped Dallas in one of Week 3’s biggest games as both teams continue to establish where they belong in the early-season NFL hierarchy. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… Jaguars 35, Patriots 6 Jacksonville delivered one of the weekend’s strongest statements with a dominant win over New England. The Jaguars now sit No. 2 in DVOA through Week 3, trailing only San Francisco. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… THE REVERSE PGWE FESTIVAL Sometimes the team that played the better game doesn’t get the win. • Panthers had 68% PGWE in a 21-18 loss to Cleveland • Texans had 66% PGWE in a 19-17 loss to Indianapolis • Seahawks had 55% PGWE in a 33-31 loss to Washington • Buffalo’s 24-16 win over the Chargers was not a reverse-PGWE game — Bills finished at 55% The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… DVOA & DAVE TOP 10 Aaron and Mike reveal the updated league hierarchy after three weeks. San Francisco sits No. 1 in both DVOA and DAVE, while Jacksonville has surged to No. 2 in DVOA. The Rams remain No. 3 in DAVE despite ranking No. 10 in DVOA, creating an interesting early-season debate between performance and projection. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Eagles at Bears The show closes by previewing Philadelphia-Chicago. The Eagles enter 13th in DVOA, while the Bears rank 14th, with Chicago set to start Case Keenum at quarterback. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… What was your biggest takeaway from Week 3? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, featuring DVOA, DAVE, playoff projections, Post-Game Win Expectancy and deeper analysis of what the final score doesn't always tell you. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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  Episode #169

  NFL Week 3 Preview: Who’s For Real? Biggest Games, DVOA & Playoff Stakes

  Sep 24, 202633 min

  Week 3 could tell us a lot about which NFL teams are actually contenders — and which early-season starts we shouldn't believe just yet. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down five of the biggest games of NFL Week 3, using FTN DVOA, playoff probabilities and early-season performance data to identify the matchups that could have the biggest impact on the playoff picture. Texans at Colts Two 0-2 AFC South teams enter a game with major playoff implications. Houston and Indianapolis are both searching for their first win, making this one of the biggest early-season swing games on the schedule. Patriots at Jaguars Drake Maye and New England are coming off their first win of the season, while Jacksonville tries to respond after letting a double-digit lead get away in Denver. Which 1-1 team takes the next step? Ravens at Cowboys Two of the NFL's highest-rated offenses by DVOA meet in Dallas. Can Baltimore rebound from a fourth-quarter collapse, or will Dak Prescott and the Cowboys build off a four-touchdown Week 2 performance? Raiders at Saints — The “For Real” Bowl Las Vegas enters 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins and a defense making plays in every phase. New Orleans just pulled off a dramatic comeback in Baltimore. It's time to find out how much of these early-season starts we should believe. Rams at Broncos — Sunday Night Football Matthew Stafford and the Rams bounced back in a big way in Week 2, while Denver erased a double-digit deficit to earn its first victory. FTN's numbers see these teams very similarly entering a major prime-time matchup. Aaron and Mike break down DVOA, playoff swings, matchup advantages, Week 2 trends and the numbers that matter most heading into Week 3. Games covered: Texans at Colts Patriots at Jaguars Ravens at Cowboys Raiders at Saints Rams at Broncos Which Week 3 matchup tells us the most about who is actually for real? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA, playoff odds, projections and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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  Episode #168

  Who Makes a Statement in Week 2? NFL Preview, DVOA & Playoff Odds

  Sep 17, 202633 min

  Week 2 is here, and several of the biggest games on the schedule could already have major playoff and Super Bowl implications. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the most important matchups of NFL Week 2, using FTN DVOA, DAVE, playoff odds and matchup data to explain what matters most heading into the weekend. Lions at Bills Two 1-0 teams meet Thursday night in one of the biggest early-season games for Super Bowl odds. Buffalo enters Week 2 with the No. 2 offense in DVOA, while Detroit looks to keep pace in a loaded NFC race. Vikings at Bears Chicago’s offense enters the week No. 1 in DVOA, but Minnesota brings one of the league’s most aggressive defenses and a Week 1 pressure rate over 50%. Which side controls this NFC North matchup? Bengals at Texans Cincinnati starts 1-0, while Houston is already facing pressure after an 0-1 start. The Texans remain highly rated by FTN DAVE despite ranking near the bottom of the league in defensive DVOA after Week 1. Commanders at Cowboys Both teams enter at 0-1 with an early divisional game carrying major playoff implications. Dallas showed a strong offensive profile in Week 1, but its defense remains one of the biggest questions heading into this matchup. Colts at Chiefs Kansas City enters with one of the NFL’s highest-ranked defenses by DVOA, while Indianapolis is trying to rebound after a rough Week 1 showing on both sides of the ball. Giants at Rams — Monday Night Football New York’s offense impressed in Week 1, while Los Angeles struggled badly by DVOA. But FTN’s DAVE model still sees the Rams as one of the league’s stronger teams going forward. Aaron and Mike break down the numbers, matchup advantages, playoff swings and biggest Week 2 storylines across the NFL. Games covered: Lions at Bills Vikings at Bears Bengals at Texans Commanders at Cowboys Colts at Chiefs Giants at Rams Which Week 2 game are you watching closest? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, DVOA, projections, playoff odds and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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  Episode #167

  Week 1 Review: Not Jumping to Conclusions

  Sep 14, 202633 min

  Week 1 is in the books — now it’s time to figure out what actually matters. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from the opening week of the 2026 NFL season, separating real trends from Week 1 overreactions. One of the biggest questions: Are the Arizona Cardinals for real? Kyler Murray and Arizona are under the microscope as Aaron and Mike evaluate what Week 1 tells us about their outlook moving forward. They also dive into the performances, teams and results that changed their expectations after the first full week of NFL action, using advanced metrics, projections and matchup analysis to determine what deserves our attention — and what should be ignored. Topics include: • Arizona’s Week 1 performance and outlook • Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense • Biggest Week 1 winners and losers • Teams that changed our expectations • Early playoff and contender takeaways • What’s real vs. what’s an overreaction • Key trends to watch heading into Week 2 Which Week 1 result changed your opinion the most? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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  Episode #166

  2026 NFL Week 1 Preview: The Games That Could Change the Playoff Race

  Sep 10, 202631 min

  NFL Week 1 is here — and some of the biggest games on the schedule could immediately reshape the playoff and Super Bowl picture. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the opening week of the 2026 NFL season, starting with a review of New England vs. Seattle before turning their attention to four major Week 1 matchups. 49ers vs. Rams in Australia What does the opener mean for two NFC West contenders? A Rams win pushes their projected Super Bowl chances from 12.1% to 18.6%, while San Francisco’s playoff outlook swings dramatically depending on the result. Bills at Texans Two of the top teams in our AFC projections meet immediately. Buffalo and Houston enter Week 1 with major playoff implications already on the line. Packers at Vikings An NFC North matchup with an early opportunity for either team to gain ground in what could become one of the league’s most competitive divisions. Commanders at Eagles Can Washington make an early statement against Philadelphia, or will the Eagles immediately reinforce their status as one of the NFC’s top contenders? Aaron and Mike dig into the matchups, projections, playoff implications, key numbers and the biggest questions heading into the first full week of NFL action. Games covered: 49ers vs. Rams Bills at Texans Packers at Vikings Commanders at Eagles New England vs. Seattle Who makes the biggest statement in Week 1? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, DVOA, projections, playoff odds and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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