Episode #99
A WARNING FLARE WENT UP.....what happens next? | ZFS 99
Send us Fan Mail A warning flare just went up in the currency markets and almost nobody is talking about what it actually means. The United States just bought the Japanese yen for the first time in over a decade, and I want to walk you through why that quiet little intervention is a much bigger deal than it looks. I break down the yen carry trade in plain English on the whiteboard. How investors and governments borrow cheap yen at around 1% and buy US bonds paying 4% to pocket the difference. Why Japan propping up its currency threatens that entire system. And why the US stepping in to buy the yen is really just foreign quantitative easing wearing a different jacket. There was even a Reuters photo from Camp David showing Scott Bessent's notepad with one to do item on it. Buy Japanese yen, 5 to 10 billion. This is not a theory. It is sitting right there in the picture. I also get into the July inflation numbers, why 3.4% year over year is not the full story, how owner equivalent rent is measured with what is basically a middle school phone tree, why PPI producer inflation is signaling more pain coming, and why fuel oil being up 39% since last year tells you everything about where this is headed. Japan holds over a trillion dollars in our bonds. If they sell, yields spike, and your mortgage and car payment go up with them. The Fed is trapped. They have already chosen inflation. And I close with what I am personally doing with my money to stay protected. Gold, silver, a diversified portfolio, and an insurance policy against the dollar. I am not a financial advisor. I am just a man in a basement showing you what I see in the forecast before the sidewalks get wet. Support the show
