True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast

True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast is a collaborative weekly series from Stocktwits, powered by Polymarket. Bringing listeners a sharp, data-backed look at how prediction markets price the future, what those probabilities reveal about politics/culture/finance/sports/global events and trade in real-time on the Polymarket platform.

True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast is a business podcast hosted by Stocktwits, with 17 episodes on record and a Required Pod Score of 80. PitchCentric scores this show on Booking Probability, Listen Score, and live audience signals refreshed every 24 hours.

Stocktwits hosts True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast, a business show with 17 episodes published.

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  Episode #17

  March Madness Final Four: Michigan–Arizona Coin Flip + Illinois–UConn Debate

  Apr 2, 202626 minS0

  <p>The Final Four is set in Indianapolis — and the college season is almost over. Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets recap the all-time Duke vs UConn collapse (including the near-technical moment with Hurley), then break down the Final Four with updated odds: Michigan 35%, Arizona 34%, Illinois 17%, UConn 13%.</p> <p>They split picks on both games:</p> <p>Illinois vs UConn (Joey leans UConn, Mikey rides with Illinois)<br> Michigan vs Arizona (Joey sticks with Arizona, Mikey takes Michigan)</p> <p>Then they talk strategy: whether to take profit on Arizona, the Big Ten to win the title market, and a simple “seed...

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  Episode #16

  March Madness Sweet 16 Preview: Purdue, Iowa, Arizona, Houston + Friday Bangers

  Mar 25, 202636 minS0

  <p>March Madness rolls on, and so do we.</p> <p>Mikey Markets is joined by Joey Rockets and Coach Ryan — fresh off an all-time debut where he called a sharp first-round upset and now sits 99.8th percentile in his bracket. Joey admits basketball isn’t his thing (and he’s basically throwing darts), but Arizona is still alive — and the Sweet 16 slate is stacked across Thursday and Friday.</p> <p>We break down every game we cover:</p> <p>Purdue vs Texas<br> Nebraska vs Iowa (Cornpocalypse)<br> Arizona vs Arkansas<br> Houston vs Illinois (late-night sweat)<br> Duke vs St. J...

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  Episode #15

  March Madness 2026 Predictions: First Round Upsets & Final Four Dark Horses

  Mar 18, 202633 minS0

  <p>March Madness is officially here! The True Odds crew is joined by college hoops aficionado Ryan to break down the 2026 NCAA Tournament. From double-digit seeds ready to bust brackets to a heated debate over BYU vs. Gonzaga, we’re covering every angle of the road to Indianapolis.</p> <p>🏆 In this episode:<br> First Round Upsets: Why High Point, USF, and Mizzou are on upset alert.<br> Sweet 16 Locks: Joey’s bold Vanderbilt play vs. Mike’s BYU hype.<br> Final Four & National Title: Is Duke playing the best ball in the country, or are they walking into a "Group of...

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  Episode #14

  Max Crosby Deal COLLAPSES + Palantir Rumors + March Madness Picks

  Mar 12, 202633 minS0

  <p>Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets — and this episode is loaded.</p> <p>We start with World Baseball Classic chaos: Team USA manager Mark DeRosa said they’d already clinched… then the U.S. lost 8–5 to Italy and now needs help based on a wild pool-play math scenario (Italy/Mexico runs matter). Meanwhile, the other must-watch game is Dominican Republic vs Venezuela — with huge implications for the bracket and for our picks (Joey’s Samurai Japan is cruising; Mikey’s on the DR).</p> <p>Then we hit a headline we’ve basically never seen: the Ravens...

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  Episode #13

  Casey’s Pizza, WBC Futures, Bears Trade Hopes & GTA 6 Price Market

  Mar 4, 202623 minS0

  <p>Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets.</p> <p>We open with a quick recap: NVIDIA beat (and basically “saved the market”), CrowdStrike beat after peers signaled strength, and Mikey celebrates a win on Traitors USA — plus Joey officially got hooked.</p> <p>Then we check in on Bitcoin after John Morgan’s call: it didn’t tag 60K, bounced hard, and is now ripping higher — with 80K looking closer than a retest of the low 60s.</p> <p>This week’s main earnings watch is a sneaky one: Casey’s General Stores (CASY) — the Midwest convenienc...

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